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QuikCAST
Surf Forecast - Hawaii

5 Day Surf Forecast

Forecast Updated:
 
Thursday, November 19, 2009 9:33 PM GMT

Surf Scale: 3 ft = waist high, 4 ft = chest high, 5 ft = head high, 10 ft =double overhead
Swell Direction is direction swell is coming from. 90°=East, 180°=South, 270°=West, 360-0 = North

NOTE: Forecast does NOT account for enhancing bathymetry (i.e the 'reef effect') common at best breaks. For top spots with swell period 14 +secs, multiply surf size X 1.25-1.5 with peaks X 2 (or consider the stated size 'Hawaiian Scale').

Hawaiian North Shore Surf Forecast
(Valid for the North and East Shores of Oahu)
Day Trend Wind
(kts)
Details
(Swell Number, Swell Size & Period, Arrival Time and Profile)
Waves
(Set wave max face height)
Swell Direction
Friday
11/20
Down ENE 25 East windswell on the East Shore at 7.8 ft @ 8 secs
6.0 ft 80 degrees
Saturday
11/21
Up some E 20 New Gulf sideband swell to 4.3 ft @ 12-13 secs
East windswell on the East Shore at 8.3 ft @ 8 secs
5.0 ft
5.5 ft
355 degrees
90 degrees
Sunday
11/22
Up more ENE 20 New swell from across the dateline building to 6.9 ft @ 17 secs late
East windswell on the East Shore at 7.3 ft @ 9 secs
11-12 ft
6.0 ft
325-330 degrees
90 degrees
Monday
11/23
Down some ENE 15 Dateline swell 7.8 ft @ 15 secs early
East windswell on the East Shore at 6 ft @ 9 secs
11-12 ft
5.0 ft
325-330 degrees
95 degrees
Tuesday
11/24
Down some ENE 15+ Dateline swell 6.9 ft @ 13-14 secs
East windswell on the East Shore at 5 ft @ 9 secs
9.0 ft
4.5 ft
325-330 degrees
90 degrees
Extended
Outlook
Up maybe ---

The Madden Julian Oscillation (MJO) is moving into the Active Phase suggesting a more favorable environment for storm formation over the North Pacific for the next 3-4 weeks.  The second gale in a series was tracking through the Central Gulf of Alaska Wed-Fri (11/20)  generating 30-35 kt west winds and 20 ft seas. But all this energy is bypassing the Islands well to the east. A storm is building west of the dateline Wed-Fri (11/20) tracking northeast and expected to stall near the dateline just south of the Aleutians with 50 kts winds and 37-40 ft seas. Swell from this one is to push well towards the Islands arriving on Sun (11/22). Another storm is on the charts for the middle of next week moving from the dateline to the Western Gulf with 45-50 kt west winds targeting the Islands with solid sideband energy. And more is forecast behind that with the jetstream moving into a very favorable configuration. So the storm door is looking to open.   

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Surf Height Animation: Northeast Pacific - Hawaii
Wind Animations:
Northeast Pacific - Hawaii
Local Model: Surf - Wind

Hawaiian South Shore Surf Forecast
(Centered on the South Shore of Oahu)
Day Trend Wind
(kts)
Details
(Swell Number, Swell Size & Period, Arrival Time and Profile)
Waves
(Set wave max face height)
Swell Direction
Friday
11/20
Down  ENE 25 No swell of interest forecast 2 ft  or less   ---
Saturday
11/21
Down  E 20 No swell of interest forecast 2 ft  or less   ---
Sunday
11/22
Down  ENE 20 No swell of interest forecast 2 ft  or less   ---
Monday
11/23
Down  ENE 15 No swell of interest forecast 2 ft  or less   ---
Tuesday
11/24
Down  ENE 15+ No swell of interest forecast 2 ft  or less   ---
Extended
Outlook
Down --- Down south the last in a string of small and weak gales pushed under New Zealand Thurs (11/12) with a tiny area of 26 ft seas pushing northeast. Small swell hardly noticeable is scheduled for  the South Shore on Sat (11/21) at 1 ft @ 14 secs and not even noticeable. It's over for the season.

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