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QuikCAST
Surf Forecast - Hawaii

5 Day Surf Forecast

Forecast Updated:
 
Tuesday, September 30, 2014 7:23 PM

Surf Scale: 3 ft = waist high, 4 ft = chest high, 5 ft = head high, 10 ft =double overhead
Swell Direction is direction swell is coming from. 90°=East, 180°=South, 270°=West, 360-0 = North

NOTE: Forecast does NOT account for enhancing bathymetry (i.e the 'reef effect') common at best breaks. For top spots with swell period 14 +secs, multiply surf size X 1.25-1.5 with peaks X 2 (or consider the stated size 'Hawaiian Scale').

Hawaiian North Shore Surf Forecast
(Valid for the North and East Shores of Oahu)
Day Trend Wind
(kts)
Details
(Swell Number, Swell Size & Period, Arrival Time and Profile)
Waves
(Set wave max face height)
Swell Direction
Wednesday
10/1
Up some  ESE 5 Kamchatka swell 4.5 ft @ 14-15 secs early 6.5 ft 315-320 degrees
Thursday
10/2
Down some E 5+ Kamchatka swell fading from 4.0 ft @ 12-13 secs early 4.5 ft 315-320 degrees
Friday
10/30
Down some E 5+ Kamchatka swell fading from 3.9 ft @ 11 secs 4.0 ft 315-320 degrees
Saturday
10/4
Up some  ESE 5 Possible swell from Tropical Storm Kammuri building to 3.5 ft @ 13-14 secs later 4.0-4.5 ft 303-305 degrees
Sunday
10/5
Down some S 1-5 Kammuri swell fading from 4.0 ft @ 12 secs early 4.5 ft 303-305 degrees
Extended
Outlook
Up some maybe ---

The the remnants of Tropical Storm Fung-Wong redeveloped off Kamchatka on Sat (9/27) with up to 50 kt northwest winds and 36 ft seas aimed well at Hawaii. Swell is hitting now. The remnants of Tropical Storm Kammuri tracked off Japan with seas to barely 32 ft over a tiny area Mon (9/29), then was fading Tues from 26 ft about half way between Japan and the dateline targeting Hawaii. Small swell is pushing towards the Islands. Theoretically a broad gale to develop off Kamchatka on Mon (10/6) with 40 kt west winds and nearly 30 ft seas aimed well towards Hawaii. Continued tropical development is forecast for the West Pacific influenced by a building Active Phase of the MJO there. 

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Surf Height Animation: Northeast Pacific - Hawaii
Wind Animations:
Northeast Pacific - Hawaii
Local Model: Surf - Wind

Hawaiian South Shore Surf Forecast
(Centered on the South Shore of Oahu)
Day Trend Wind
(kts)
Details
(Swell Number, Swell Size & Period, Arrival Time and Profile)
Waves
(Set wave max face height)
Swell Direction
Wednesday
10/1
Up more ESE 5 New Zealand swell peaking at 3.1 ft @ 16 secs early 5.0 ft 195 degrees
Thursday
10/2
Down some E 5+ New Zealand swell fading from 2.6 ft @ 14-15 secs  3.5-4.0 ft 195 degrees
Friday
10/3
Down some E 5+ New Zealand swell fading from 2.0 ft @ 13-14 secs early  2.5 ft 195 degrees
Saturday
10/4
Down ESE 5 No swell of interest forecast 2 ft or less ---
Sunday
10/5
Down S 1-5 No swell of interest forecast 2 ft or less ---
Extended
Outlook
Down ---

A decent storm formed under New Zealand on Mon-Tues (9/23) tracking east with 38-40 ft seas aimed decently to the east-northeast. This system faded but still held together tracking across the entire South Pacific with 28-32 ft seas Thurs-Fri (9/26) partially in the HI swell window offering smaller but steady late season swell for days to follow. Nothing else to follow.   

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