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QuikCAST
Surf Forecast - Hawaii

5 Day Surf Forecast

Forecast Updated:
 
Thursday, March 18, 2010 9:53 PM GMT

Surf Scale: 3 ft = waist high, 4 ft = chest high, 5 ft = head high, 10 ft =double overhead
Swell Direction is direction swell is coming from. 90°=East, 180°=South, 270°=West, 360-0 = North

NOTE: Forecast does NOT account for enhancing bathymetry (i.e the 'reef effect') common at best breaks. For top spots with swell period 14 +secs, multiply surf size X 1.25-1.5 with peaks X 2 (or consider the stated size 'Hawaiian Scale').

Hawaiian North Shore Surf Forecast
(Valid for the North and East Shores of Oahu)
Day Trend Wind
(kts)
Details
(Swell Number, Swell Size & Period, Arrival Time and Profile)
Waves
(Set wave max face height)
Swell Direction
Friday
3/19
Up some NE 15+ Possible new local Gulf swell to 9 ft @ 13 secs 11 ft 330 degrees
Saturday
3/20
Down some NE 15+ Local swell fading from 7.5 ft @ 11-12 secs 8.5 ft 330 degrees
Sunday
3/21
Down some E 15+ Background swell 4 ft @ 15 secs 6.0 ft 320 degrees
Monday
3/22
Down  E 15 Swell fading from 4.5 ft @ 12-13 secs 5.5 ft 320 degrees
Tuesday
3/23
Up some NE 10 Possible new dateline swell to 9 ft @ 15 secs 13-14 ft 325 degrees
Extended
Outlook
Up some ---

The Madden Julian Oscillation (MJO) is in the Inactive state and expected to continue there through early next month. No direct support for gale development expected from it but El Nino will continue to favor gale and storm formation for a few more months.  A weak system developed just north of the Islands Wed/Thurs (3/18) with 23 ft seas. Some raw local windswell to result for Fri (3/19) and beyond. A solid gale remains modeled on the dateline Sun/Mon (3/22) with 30 ft seas, possibly setting up decent swell for early next week.  Beyond the models hint at a progressive series of gales developing in the Western Gulf with decent sideband energy pushing south towards the Islands next week.

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Surf Height Animation: Northeast Pacific - Hawaii
Wind Animations:
Northeast Pacific - Hawaii
Local Model: Surf - Wind

Hawaiian South Shore Surf Forecast
(Centered on the South Shore of Oahu)
Day Trend Wind
(kts)
Details
(Swell Number, Swell Size & Period, Arrival Time and Profile)
Waves
(Set wave max face height)
Swell Direction
Friday
3/19
Down NE 15+ No swell of interest forecast 2 ft or less   ---
Saturday
3/20
Up NE 15+ New stronger New Zealand southern hemi Swell #1S building to 4.0 ft @ 20 secs 8.0+ ft   190 degrees
Sunday
3/21
Down slightly E 15+ New Zealand Swell #1S fading from 3.6 ft @ 17-18 secs early 6.5+ ft   190 degrees
Monday
3/22
Down some E 15 New Zealand Swell #1S fading from 3.0 ft @ 15 secs 4.5+ ft   190 degrees
Tuesday
3/23
Down some NE 10 Southern hemi swell fading from 2.3 ft @ 13-14 secs early 3.5 ft   190 degrees
Extended
Outlook
Down --- A strong early season storm formed just southeast of New Zealand Sat/Sun (3/14) with 50 kt winds and seas modeled  up to 46 ft, though 40 ft was only confirmed. Regardless, real southern hemi swell expected by the weekend and beyond. nothing forecast to follow though.

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