New Swell Classification Guidelines (Winter)
Significant: Winter - Swell 8 ft @ 14 secs or greater (11+ ft faces) for 8+ hours (greater than double overhead). Summer - Head high or better.
Advanced: Winter - Swell and period combination capable of generating faces 1.5 times overhead to double overhead (7-10 ft) Summer - Chest to head high.
Intermediate: Winter - Swell and period combination generating faces at head high to 1.5 times overhead (4-7 ft). Summer - Waist to chest high.
Impulse/Windswell: Winter - Swell and period combination generating faces up to head high (1-4 ft) or anything with a period less than 11 secs. Summer - up to waist high swell. Also called 'Background' swell.
On Sunday (12/6) North and Central California was getting little longer period energy from Storm #4, but it was real small, producing waves in the chest high range with heavy west texture and northwest winds at 5-10 kts. Southern California was getting residual North Dateline swell with waves waist to maybe chest high and clean up north, but effectively flat down south with northwest wind on it early making to pretty textured. Hawaii's North Shore was getting more swell from Storm #4 with waves double overhead and clean early, but on the way down. The East Shore was getting wrap around energy from the northwest with waves 3-4 ft overhead at top spots. The South Shore was getting some late season southern hemi swell with waves up to waist high and clean.
The forecast for North and Central CA is for Swell #4 to peak out at head high or so on Monday then start fading on Tuesday as new far more powerful energy from dateline Storm #5 starts to arrive. Expect large surf by the evening. That swell is to hold on Wednesday pushing 18 ft then start to fade some on Thursday from 16 ft and blown out. Surf down to double overhead on Friday ad hacked. Southern California is to see a smaller version of that swell, but positioned better in the swell window than anything so far this season. First up is primer swell from the dateline at waist high Monday and thigh high Tuesday. Things get interesting on Wednesday with the arrival of Swell #5 pushing near double overhead at better breaks, holding at 3-4 ft overhead on Thursday and down to 1 ft overhead on Friday. The North Shore of Hawaii is to see the most size from Swell #5, with waves 27-29 ft Hawaiian on Monday but likely blown out, continuing at 20 ft on Tuesday with improving conditions and 18 ft on Wednesday and clean. 13 ft faces expected on Thursday fading to 3 ft overhead on Friday. The East Shore is to have no easterly windswell. The South Shore is in hibernation for the winter.
Longterm the Madden Julian Oscillation (MJO) has maxed out in the Active Phase but should continue to promote storm development for the next 2 weeks. After Storms #4 and 5 things to be settling down. A weaker gale is forecast pushing from the dateline into the Gulf of Alaska Wed-Sun (12/13), but that's about it. Get what you can but play it safe. There's alot more to this winter yet to come.
SHORT- TERM FORECAST
Current marine weather and wave analysis plus forecast conditions for the next 72 hours
On Sunday (12/6) the North Pacific jetstream was surging on the dateline with 180 kts winds pushing into a well defines trough from almost the Kurils east to a point north of Hawaii, at the apex of the trough. Great support for storm development there. Over the next 72 hrs the dateline trough is to push east to a point midway between Hawaii and the California coast and starting to loose definition, though a solid river of 120-130 kt winds are to be flowing from southern Japan flat east to 800 nmiles west of Southern CA, with energy already pushing inland there. No real well defined trough is forecast though, with no clear support for gale development suggested. Beyond 72 hours the jet is to continue in one consolidated flow tracking super far to the south and flat east to west, on the 35N latitude tracking right over Southern CA. But with no troughs indicated, there's little support for gale development expected.
At the surface on Sunday (12/6) Storm #5 was solid on the dateline, with 45 kt northwest winds covering a large area and 40 kts northwest winds assumed to be in the larger category as well. See details below. Weak high pressure was dissolving over the California coast and a front associated with this storm was bearing down on Hawaii. The storm door is wide open and a wet pattern is shaping up for the US West Coast. Over the next 72 hours Storm #5 is to fade out, effectively gone on Tuesday (12/8) though a broad circulation from this system is to linger over the dateline and Gulf of Alaska into Wednesday (12/9).
Primer Storm #4 - Hawaii
On Wednesday AM (12/2) energy bleeding of of the remnants of Typhoon Nida converged with the jetstream on the dateline with 50 kts winds quickly building at 39N 175E in the systems southwest quadrant aimed decently at Hawaii up the 312 degree path. Seas on the increase. In the evening 55-60 kt winds developed aimed more southeast than east at 38N 178W targeting Hawaii again up the 315 degree path. 26 ft seas projected at 38N 175W (and likely higher) targeting Hawaii well. The Jason-1 satellite passed over the tail end of this fetch in the even and reported seas of 24 ft with a peak reading to 27 ft where the model suggested 22 ft seas. So if anything the model was on the low side.
On Thursday AM (12/3) the core of the storm was starting to lift north with 55 kts northwest winds at 41N 171W aimed right down the 331 degree path to Hawaii and 30 degrees south of the 290 degree path to Northern CA. 36 ft seas were modeled at 40N 170W. This was better than projected even 24 hours previous. The Jason01 satellite passed over the Northwest sector of the fetch and confirmed seas at 29.1 ft with a peak to 28.4 ft where the model suggested 22-24 ft seas. Clearly things were better than modeled. In the evening 55 kt northwest winds to continue up at 46N 171W aimed right down the 337 degree path to Hawaii and 25 degrees south of the 296 degree path to NCal. 29 ft seas from previous fetch forecast at 38N 168W pushing mid-way between Hawaii and California though closer to Hawaii.
Friday AM (12/4) 45-50 kts winds to continue over a smallish area at 47N 173W aimed right down the 298 degree path to NCal and 40 degrees east of the 340 degree path to Hawaii. 26 ft seas from previous fetch hanging in the area of 35N 170W targeting the Islands great with decent energy radiating east towards the US West Coast. This system is to be gone by the evening with Storm #5 stealing it's residual energy and 25 ft seas from previous fetch at 32N 165W.
Significant class swell from this system has already hit Hawaii (on Sat 12/5) with California only expected to get a glancing blow with most energy passing south of there.
North CA: Small sideband swell from this system is to reach the area on Sunday at 6 PM. Swell to 5.2 ft @ 15 secs (7.5 ft faces) on Monday (12/7). Swell Direction 290 degrees
Storm #5 - The 'Big One' For Hawaii
Energy from Typhoon Nida was just off the coast of Japan on Thursday (12/3) heading east, and starting to develop.
A tropically fueled storm started building while tracking east off Japan on Friday AM (2/4) with 55 kts winds building at 38N 158E aimed mostly south, pushing east and reaching 37N 171E in the evening with 50-55 kts winds aimed pretty well to the east, or up the 310 degree path to Hawaii and 35 degrees south of the 290 degree path to North CA.
This storm hit the dateline Saturday AM (12/5) with 60-65 kt west and northwest winds at 38N 173W aimed right down the 325 degree path to Hawaii and 25 degrees south of the 289 degree path to NCal. Seas were on the increase, with winds getting good traction on the oceans surface thanks to Storm #4 in the same area just 36 hours earlier. Seas were modeled at 40 ft over a small area at 38N 178W. This was right on track with modeled output even 3 days earlier. By Saturday evening 60-65 kt west winds were taking over aimed well at North CA at 40N 165W aimed down the 288 degree path and also well at Southern CA down the 293 degree path. 45 ft seas covered a solid area at 37N 170W pushing well to the east. The Jason-1 satellite made a reasonably good pass over the western edge of the fetch on Saturday evening and confirmed seas at 38.5 ft (15 reading average) with one peak reading to 41.7 ft where the models suggested 38-39 ft seas. The models were right on track.
Sunday AM (12/6) things were starting to decay a bit, but still a large area of 50 kts west-northwest winds was modeled holding at 40-45 N 175W blowing over the exact same area of water aimed well up the 292 degree path to NCal and the 292-300 degree path to SCal and 30 degree east of the 335 degree path to Hawaii. Seas were modeled holding at 45 ft at 37N 163W. This fetch is to hold ground but fade a little in areal coverage in the evening (45 kts) at 45N 175W, but still reasonably impressive. 38 ft seas to cover a huge area at 41N 173W.
Monday AM (12/7) winds to be fading from 35 kts up at 45N 175W (335 degs Hawaii, 296 NCal, 301 SCal). 37 ft seas forecast at 40N 169W, again in the huge areal category. Seas fading in the evening from 30 ft from previous days fetch at 37N 164W.
This system is developing close to expectations, or at least the first pulse of the storm is. But a second pulse previously forecast is now forecast to not be nearly as strong. Regardless 36 hours of fetch 55 kts or greater has occurred with another 36 hours of lesser fetch (40-45 kts) is forecast all covering a pretty good sized area. The issue is the QuikSCAT satellite, the one that provides wind speed confirmation, died right before Thanksgiving, and is likely gone for good. We'll have to wait for a new satellite to be launched. This is a major setback in that there is no way way now to confirm what is going on inside any storms. Fortunately the Jason-1 satellite is still available to provide seas height confirmation. At this time significant class swell is forecast for Hawaii and California, with Hawaii doing the best due to their closer proximity to the storms center (936-1908 nmiles) versus CA (1748-2592 nmiles). Large swell is already in the water steaming towards both locals with more to follow. Historically this is not to be anything completely out of the ordinary, especially for the the US West Coast, though Hawaii, with no solid swells for the past 3 years, will certainly get a wake up call. Though size may not be huge on the US West Coast, it will make up for it in pure thickness with very long and unrelenting lines forecast. Virtual fetch is expected to be playing a good part in the US West Coast forecast too, with higher than normal number of waves per set in the 17 up to 20 sec frequencies.
Hawaii: Expect swell arrival on Sunday (12/6) at sunset with period 25 secs and size on the increase. Solid 20 sec energy is expected arriving by 3 AM Monday (12/7) with pure swell quickly ramping up to 13.6-14.6 at 20 secs (27-29 ft Hawaiian) with seas to 15.5 ft @ 18 secs. Kona northwest winds are forecast at 8 kts early with a front blowing through by noon and north winds taking over at 15+ kts in the early afternoon. Slowly the wind is to turn more towards trades on Tuesday (12/8), NE turning to ENE at 10-15 kts, but likely not enough to clean up the North Shore. Swell to continue at 13.5-14.5 ft @ 15-16 secs (20-22 ft Hawaiian). By Wednesday (12/9) winds are to turn trades (east 5 kts) and the swell fading from 13 ft @ 15 secs (18-20 ft Hawaiian). Swell Direction 328-335+ degrees.
North CA: Expect swell arrival Tuesday (12/8) early afternoon with period 22 secs and size on the increase, reaching 10 ft @ 20 secs just after sunset (20 ft faces). Swell to hold overnight with period easing down Wednesday AM (12/9), dropping with pure swell 10 ft @ 17 secs (17-18 ft faces) and holding through the day. Thursday (12/10) remains a bit uncertain, but rough estimates put pure swell at 9.5 ft @ 16 secs (15-16 ft faces) and heading down. Swell Direction: 285-290 degrees
Southern CA: Expect swell arrival Tuesday (12/8) 8 PM with period 22 secs and size on the increase. Period dropping to 20 secs near 3 AM Wednesday (12/9) with pure swell outside the Channel Islands reaching 9.5 ft @ 20 secs (19 ft faces) and nearshore at 4.8 ft @ 20 secs (9.5 ft faces) and holding well into sunrise and a bit beyond (to 10 AM). Swell fading just a little through the day with swell at sunset outside the Islands still 9.5 ft @ 17 secs (16-17 ft faces) and 4.75 ft @ 17 secs nearshore (8 ft faces). Thursday (12/10) remains a bit uncertain, but rough estimates put pure swell at 8.0-8.5 ft @ 16 secs (15-16 ft faces) outside the Channel Islands and 4.3 ft @ 16 secs nearshore (7 ft faces) and heading down. Swell Direction: 289-294 degrees with the more westerly angle early in the swells life.
North Pacific Animations: Jetstream - Surface Pressure/Wind - Sea Height - Surf Height
California Nearshore Forecast
On Sunday (12/6) strong high pressure at 1052 mbs was inland over British Columbia setting up hard offshore winds up there, with weak low pressure developing inland over Eastern Nevada setting up a weak north fetch from Pt Arena south to Pt Reyes at 10-15 kts and rain for Central CA late Sunday evening into Monday. That low pressure cell is to push out over the Pacific off Pt Conception on Monday (12/7) with high pressure right behind, setting up north winds at 15 kts or greater all day Monday and rain into Southern CA, then fading to calm and dry on Tuesday. A light east flow is possible on Wednesday for the entire state ahead of the first wave of south winds and rain expected into Central CA on Thursday and continuing non-stop til Sunday (12/13).
With the MJO in the Active Phase, net tropical activity is expected to continue above normal through 12/18. This will be a true test of this El Ninos strength.
Right on cue Typhoon Nida formed in the West Pacific (11/24) with sustained winds 75 kts located 300 nmiles south of Saipan. Slow and steady strengthening occurred with winds up to 110 kts on Friday (11/27) and then reaching Super Typhoon strength to 130 kts on Saturday (11/28). Nida drifted slowly north remaining in open waters well east of the Northern Philippines on 11/28. On Tues (12/1) Nida was down to 75 kts and holding ground where is had been, though starting to gain a little northwestern momentum. Nida slowly faded while accelerating off to the northeast on Thursday with winds down to 45 kts then is expected to become assimilated into the North Pacific winter storm track (see details above). No swell is expected to US interests directly, though tropical outflow from it is expected to fuel several winter-like storms in the North Pacific in the coming days.
At the surface no swell producing fetch was occurring and none is forecast for the next 72 hours.
South Pacific Animations: Jetstream - Surface Pressure/Wind - Sea Height - Surf Height
Marine weather and forecast conditions 3-10 days into the future
Beyond 72 hrs a modest gale start to be tracking east from Japan on Monday (12/7) bound for the dateline. 40 kts west winds are forecast developing just east of the dateline late Wednesday (12/9) at 42N 170W then fading to the 35 kts range while drifting east, making it to 160W before dissolving, only to reorganize on Sunday (12/13) in the Central Gulf with 35 kts west winds. A tiny area of 30 kt winds are forecast Thurs AM at 41N 168W holding into the evening at 40N 160W. Possible regeneration of seas expected late Sunday (12/13) too, but that's just a guess.
MJO/ENSO Update (reference): As of Sunday (12/6) the Madden Julian Oscillation (MJO) was in the Active Phase supporting the continued evolution of El Nino. The ENSO (El Nino Southern Oscillation) index continued in the negative range with the Daily SOI index down some to -12.09 (almost 24 consecutive days in a row). The 30 day average was down to -6.61 while the 90 average was down some to -6.90. This continues looking more like a legitimate El Nino based solely on the SOI.
Wind anomalies at the 850 mb level (approx 5000 ft up) as defined by models continued indicating a moderate strength and broad area of westerly anomalies consistent with the Active Phase covering the West Pacific reaching over the dateline and pushing into the East Pacific from there. The Active Phase is to continue pushing east reaching into the Eastern Pacific on 12/10 and tracking into Central America while still holding ground on the dateline, then slowly dissipating through 12/20. A weak version of the Inactive Phase is forecast trying to get legs in the Indian Ocean at the same time, reaching New Guinea on 12/22 and nearly dissipated. This Active Phase episode is expected to increase storm activity in the North Pacific through mid-December.
Sea Surface Temp anomaly data (12/3) indicates that warmer than normal waters are consolidated on the equator from Ecuador west to the dateline and even west of there, and starting to rebuild some along the Baja coast. The previous lack of a real Kelvin Wave was not helping that situation. But with a new strong Kelvin Wave (see below) erupting along the coast, there is some anticipation that warmer waters might build to the north. From an El Nino perspective, it make no real difference though. The expanse of the warmer waters continues to hold on equator, covering slightly more area and filling in with the warmest waters covering greater area now. Overall the warm water signature remains non-exceptional, but clearly in the moderate El Nino category and building very slowly but steadily.
Of interest, the water temp anomaly data provided by NOAA/NESDIS (satellite based) versus the TAO/TRITON buoy array, present different depictations of the same event. The TAO array suggests max heating is occurring on the dateline, with temps easing as one tracks east, while the satellite based data from NOAA presents an analysis of continuous warm waters over the length of the equator from Ecuador to the dateline. The difference is in how the data is collected (buoys at fixed points versus a satellite view of the entire playing field). We're siding with the satellite view not because it is more favorable, but because we believe it more accurately represents reality. The buoy arrays strength is in waters temps at depth (i.e. for detecting Kelvin Waves). This is exactly what the array was built to detect. The satellite view cannot do that. Likewise, the satellite has far superior coverage.
Below the surface on the equator things continue to look favorable. A steady flow of warmer than normal subsurface water continues tracking from the West Pacific (150 m below the surface) under the dateline and breaking the surface near Central America as it has for months now. As of 12/6 the Kelvin Wave we've been tracking with a core of 6 deg warmer than normal sub-surface water is starting to impact the Ecuador coast. This should fuel an increase in the warm water surface pool as it continue impacting the coast there building and eventually tracking back west on the equator driven by trades. This Kelvin Wave first appeared under the dateline on 9/17 and tracked steadily east through 12/1 and was the result of a prolonged persistent westerly surface wind flow that had been in-place west of the dateline from 9/8 and continued into 11/5.
Over the Equatorial Pacific and consistent with the Active Phase, surface winds started to move anomalously from the west extending the whole way from Indonesia to a point south of Hawaii, with weak real west winds confirmed in the far West Pacific. A new Westerly Wind Burst started to develop on 11/28 and was very obvious on 11/30 with fully blowing west winds near 165E, and strong. This Westerly Wind Burst (WWB) continued on 12/2 and 12/6 with a most solid area of west winds pushing almost to the dateline. On 12/6 strong west anomalies pushed to 170W. This situation could help to form yet another Kelvin Wave which would be good. The Kelvin Wave currently tracking east was formed from a prolonged bout and multiple pulses of westerly winds and westerly anomalies that occurred from 9/8 through 11/2. At one point towards it's end the anomalies reached the whole way from the West Pacific to almost Ecuador. Embedded in that run were Typhoons Dujuan, Choi-Wan, Parma, Melor and Nepartak. All this helped to deepen the surface warm pool in the tropical Eastern Pacific. Typhoon Nida was associated with the most recent WWB.
El Nino is expected to affect the global atmospheric weather pattern at least through Spring of next year if not into the middle of summer. All data suggests this will not be a strong El Nino, more likely a moderate one. NOAA's last update (11/5) forecasts the same outcome, though hints at some uncertainty. In short, all the best models aren't exactly sure how this is going to play out. Regardless a solid accumulation of warm water in the equatorial East Pacific is evidence in-favor of continued development. As long as there continues to be WWB's (as there obviously is), then warm water will be migrating east, and the warm water pattern will hold if not build, and the atmosphere above it will respond in-kind to the change (towards El Nino). At this point there is no evidence to suggest this El Nino will stall or dissipate. The only remaining question is whether it will hold, or grow. And current data indicates that the warm pool will hold if not slowly build. And historically it is already larger and strong than any other in the past 12 years.
The current El Nino is gaining strength, with a 2 degree water temp anomaly in the tropical East Pacific the likely outcome. Coverage is pretty solid for this event, but the lack of really high water temp anomalies will likely limit it's strength. Strong El Ninos bring lot's of bad weather to the US West Coast, along with the potential for storm and swell enhancement. A moderate El Nino provides storm and swell enhancement, a gentle but steady push/momentum in-favor of storm development rather than the manic frenzy of a strong El Nino, but without all the weather associated with a strong event. So in many ways a moderate El Nino is more favorable from a surf perspective. As of right now things remain better than anything the Pacific has seen in the past 12 years regarding anomalous sea surface temperatures, besting anything since the big El Nino of 1997. That is very good news. But the lack of anomalous water temps exceeding 3 degrees and an unremarkable SOI suggests a modest El Nino at best. Still, it should be enough to provide storm enhancement, and a better than average winter surf season for the North Pacific, and still likely better than anything in the past 10 years. Better yet, if it's not too strong (as this event appears to be) perhaps it will not degrade into La Nina the year after (which typically happens after stronger El Ninos), but hold in some mild El Nino like state for several years in a row. This would be an even better outcome.
See more details in the new El Nino update.
Beyond 72 hours the models suggest no swell producing fetch is to develop.
Details to follow...
External Reference Material: El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO), Madden Julian Oscillation (MJO), Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO), Southern Oscillation Index (SOI), Kelvin Wave
Add a STORMSURF Buoy Forecast to your Google Homepage. Click Here:
Then open your Google homepage, hit 'edit' button (top right near graph), and select your location
See a screening of recent Powerlines Production Mav's footage: Tues Dec 1st at 6 PM at La Costanera Restaurant, Montara Beach. www.lacostanerarestaurant.com 8150 Cabrillo Hwy, Montara CA 650-728-1600
Interview With Stormsurf: The crew at SurfScience.com worked with Stormsurf on a feature about why surfers should be able to read wave charts themselves. They are firm believers that a little learning can go a long way to help your surfing. This is a great article to help convince your friends that they can benefit from being able to read the data themsleves rather than just relying on the forecasts of others. See the full thing here: Create Your Own Surf Forecast with Stormsurf
Mavericks - Everest of the Sea & Longboard Vineyards: Come late October Sonoma County will not only welcome a new crop of world class wines, but the award winning photography of some of Action Sports best lensmen. “ Mavericks – Everest of the Seas” comes alive again just in time to set the stage for another epic Big Wave Season. Mix two of Northern California's finest institutions – big wave surfing and the wine country – and you have what promises to be an amazing weekend at the Longboard Vineyards Tasting Room in Healdsburg
October 23 – 25.
Relive heroic battles between man and wave as seen through the eyes of the cutting-edge photojournalists who risk life and limb to document the wave's intense man-against-the-sea drama and obsessive lifestyle of Maverick's elite riders. Oded Shakked, a longtime surfer who founded Longboard Vineyards, will be unveiling his latest release, The Peter Mel/Mavericks Cabernet Sauvignon. This signature wine will be blended by not only Shakked but guest vintner, Peter Mel. Mel, one of the most respected names in Big Wave Surfing is known as perhaps the most skillful surfer ever to ride Mavericks. The famed spot off the Half Moon Bay. In October of 1998 he was whipped into to what is now considered the biggest wave ever ridden… Mel along with the featured photographers, surfboard shapers and wine makers will be on hand for the Friday night reception. The reception will begin at 5pm and run until roughly 9pm.
Longboard Vineyard has always had a soft spot for surfers. It's a place where you can hangout at a redwood-surfboard bar, or sample one
of its award winning wines while kicking back on a comfortable sofa watching surf movies. For this harvest weekend event Shakked has
enlisted “Mavericks: Everest of the Seas,” the heralded collection of Mavericks surf photography from Frank Quirarte, Doug Acton, Seth
Migdail and Ed Grant.
“Everest of the Seas” first made its debut recently at the Coastal Arts League Gallery in Half Moon Bay, drawing large crowds and an
enthusiastic response. It just finished a one-month highly successful run at San Francisco's world class Museum and Gallery, SFMOMA.“Everyone who sees the exhibit is just blown away,” said Grant, the curator of the Coastal Arts League Gallery. “Both surfers and non-surfers can't help but get caught up in the energy and stoke that surrounds Maverick's, the surfers and photographers who put it on the
line every time they go out there.”
The event also represents a high point in the career of Oded Shakked, who was born in Israel and grew up near a beach just north of Tel
Aviv. Immersed in surfing from the start, he made several trips around Europe's Atlantic coast while discovering, to his delight, that “it
was easier, cheaper and safer to drink good red wine than bottled water.” His twin loves of surfing and wine brought him to California,
where he studied winemaking at UC Davis and became enamored with the people, climate and rich soil of Sonoma County. He founded Longboard Vineyards with the motto “Wine, waves and soul,” making it a highly unique fixture in wine country.
The October 23-25 weekend will also feature the sale of surfboards and memorabilia, along with Acton's acclaimed book, “Inside Maverick's.”
Admission is free. Opening reception sponsored by Maverick Events and Longboard Vineyards
The Kelly Slater Project - A fundraiser is scheduled for Aug 29th at the Cocoa Beach Country Club to help raise funds for both the Kelly Slater Project and the Central Florida Animal Reserve. A Casino night is planned including a silent auction and raffle. Sponsors are also needed. Learn more about these projects at : http://www.thekellyslaterproject.com/
Rebuild Jeff Clark: Jeff Clark the first pioneer of Mavericks, recently underwent hip resurfacing surgery due to severe pain from deterioration of his hip. Needless to say the procedure is very expensive and his insurance only covers tiny portion of the bill. If you're interested in learning about the procedure or would like to donate to help Jeff out, please take a look here: http://www.rebuildjeffclark.blogspot.com/
North California Surf Report Works Again: After an extended downtime we finally got the North California Surf Report working again. Thanks for your patience. See it here: http://www.stormsurf.com/page2/report/ncal.html
Shark Video: Our friend Curt Myers of Powerlines productions shot this footage of 2 great whites munching on a whale carcass off Devils Slide (south of San Francisco) on Thursday. Kind of interesting to watch. Check it here: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8I4rZYEZMWQ (Fixed link)
Wave Model Upgrade Status Report: At this point we believe the installation of the new wave models is complete, with no problems being reported, the server stabilizing and the much requested return of the old style hemispheric Surf Height models now operational (again) and running side-by-side along the new ones. We thank you for your patience and input as we went though this process. Your feedback helps guide our efforts and ultimately results in a better product for everyone. Now we're off to start providing better menus to some wave model products most of you probably haven't uncovered yet (site specific graph and text forecasts), updateing the wave model FAQs and then upgrading the Weather Models.
New Wave Model Facts: Click HERE to read more about the new wave models. Important info.
Stormsurf Wave Models Updated: On Friday (2/6) we installed the latest upgrade to our wavemodels. A year in the works, this upgrade essentially is a total re-write of every wave model product we produce. They now take advantage of the new Version 3 of the Wavewatch wavemodel. This version runs at a much higher resolution, specifically 0.0 X 0.5 degrees for the global grib with local products at 0.1667 X 0.1667 degrees, and it uses the hi-res GFS model for wind speeds. And of even more interest, the model now identifies primary swell and windwave variables. As such we now have new model images which displays this data. Also we've included out special 3D topographic land masks into all models. In all it makes for a radical step forward in wave model technology. We'll be upgrading minor components (FAQ, new menu pages etc) for a few weeks to come, but all the basics are available for your use now. Check it out here: http://www.stormsurf.com/mdls/menu_wam.html
Story About Stormsurf: The folks at SurfPulse (and specifically author Mike Wallace) have written up a really nice article about Stormsurf, complete with some good pics. Learn about how we came to be and a little of where we are going. Check it out here: http://www.surfpulse.com/2009/01/visceral-surf-forecasting-with-mark-sponsler/
Stormsurf Video: Just for fun - here's a clip about Stormsurf that ran on Bay Area TV a while back. Thought you might enjoy it: http://vimeo.com/2319455
Time Zone Converter By popular demand we've built and easy to use time convert that transposes GMT time to whatever time zone you are located. It's ion left hand column on every page on the site near the link to the swell calculator.
Need Chiropractic Help? Visit our friends at Darrow Chiropractic. Not only will Dr. Darrow fix you up, he might give you some big wave surfing tips too! See more here: http://www.darrowchiropractic.com/
Stormsurf Google Gadget - Want Stormsurf content on your Google Homepage? It's simple and free. If you have Google set as your default Internet Explorer Homepage, just click the link below and a buoy forecast will be added to your Google homepage. Defaults to Half Moon Bay CA. If you want to select a different location, just click on the word 'edit', and a list of alternate available locations appears. Pick the one of your choice. Content updates 4 times daily. A great way to see what waves are coming your way!
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Surf Height-Swell Height Correlation Table